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Before you download another weight-loss app, know this: Noom paid $62 million to settle claims about deceptive auto-renewals, and MyFitnessPal’s crowdsourced food database has documented accuracy problems that peer-reviewed studies flag as serious. Here’s what the actual research shows about both.

You’ve probably debated group classes versus private coaching for weight loss, but research reveals an unexpected truth: the winner isn’t determined by format at all. One specific factor predicts success better than anything else, and it’s hiding in plain sight.